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Is there a way to predict when central banks aren't "good enough" then?

Point is, for a 100% positive case rate, I have to tolerate a 22% false positive rate. What exactly is the complaint here? Was this line of logic meant to make people who make these predictions look stupid or foolish somehow? To me, it mostly fails to.



> Is there a way to predict when central banks aren't "good enough" then?

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME




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